Week one is over and we’re moving on to week two’s 15-team parlay with Dr. Senkbeil. How did your predictions do?
Last Week in Review
Heres a little note from Dr. Senkbeil himself!
OUCH! What an awful first week of picks. 6 – 11 is the worst I have ever performed, but many weird things happened, like aTm vs. UCLA and Howard with the largest point spread upset in history. Something was in the air. Many of the lines in the games I picked tilted even farther in the direction of my pick before game time.
15 NCAA Games To Look Out For This Week
Stats for one week do not indicate much, so it will be a few weeks before that comes around. I love the stats at Football Outsiders and I will most often use Bill Connelly’s S&P data which is explained here.
Picks against the spread are in bold.
- Memphis at Central Florida -2.5
Prediction: Central Florida 44-34
Central Florida pounded FIU 61 – 17 while Memphis beat ULM 37-29. ULM was awful in 2016 so the UCF win was more impressive. Seems like asking for them to cover -2.5 at home is not too much to ask.
- Ohio at Purdue -4
Prediction: Purdue 38-27
Was that Purdue going toe to toe with Lamar Jackson and Louisville last week? Brohm is a miracle worker with moribund Purdue. Ohio is a decent MAC team and they crushed Hampton 59-0. Purdue’s stock is up and they can beat Ohio.
- Louisville at North Carolina +10
Prediction: Louisville 49-42
North Carolina gets 10 points at home and should be involved in another shootout after losing to CAL 35-30. If Louisville only beat Purdue by 7 then how do they pull away from UNC on the road?
- Charlotte at Kansas State -36.5
Prediction: Kansas State 52-13
Kansas State destroyed a good FCS Central Arkansas team last week 55-19. That team is better than Charlotte. The Wildcats are good this year and even trying to take it easy they should still cover 36.5 but not by much.
- Tennessee Martin at Ole Miss -29.5
Prediction: Ole Miss 66-17
Ole Miss has an explosive offense and beat South Alabama 47 – 27. UTM is not a good FCS team. This one should be at least a 40 point win.
- Pitt +21 at Penn State
Prediction: Penn State 41-24
Pitt beat Penn State last year before Penn State started to get in their groove. Pitt struggled with FCS runner up Youngstown last week while Penn State slaughtered Akron, only allowing 148 yards. 21 sounds high in a rivalry game unless Penn State is out for revenge.
- Fresno State +43.5 at Bama
Prediction: Bama 48 – 17
Fresno beat Incarnate Word 66-0. Bama is now very thin at LB after the FSU game. Historically, Bama has somewhat of a week two letdown after their annual opening week mega game. A sleepy Bama gets chewed out by Saban and wakes up too late to cover 43.5.
- Austin Peay +31 at Miami Ohio
Prediction: Miami Ohio 35 – 24
Peay had the number one recruiting class in FCS last year. I discovered that too late to include in my picks last week but used that info thinking they would stay within 35 points of Cincinnati and they did. Miami Ohio lost to Marshall. Does Miami OH win by more than 31? This sounds good.
- Howard +21.5 at Kent State
Prediction: Kent 28-27
Cam Newton’s little brother led the Bison to a stunning win over UNLV. Can they do it again? Kent is usually not as good as UNLV. Bison seem logical here.
- South Carolina +2.5 at Missouri
Prediction: South Carolina 45-42
Missouri must be auditioning to go back to the Big 12 with that offensive display from last week. They will score but can they stop suddenly potent South Carolina who hung 35 on NC State? This should be high scoring and the over of 72 sounds like a winner. South Carolina stops them when it counts.
- Oklahoma +7.5 at Ohio State
Prediction: Oklahoma 45-38
Oklahoma routed UTEP 56 – 7 and Ohio State looked a little lethargic against IU. If IU threw on the buckeyes, then the sooners will get their points. Can OU stop the uber-talented Buckeyes? No, but I think they can do it enough and pull out a huge win for new coach Lincoln Riley. Baker Mayfield torches the Buckeyes.
- Georgia +4.5 at Notre Dame
Prediction: Georgia 20 – 17
Notre Dame looked good last week against regressing Temple. Eason is hurt for UGA so will they throw a pass? With Chubb and Michel do you need to throw a pass? The Georgia D is tough! I like the under of 53 and I think UGA wins a beautiful old fashioned runfest.
- Stanford +7 at USC
Prediction: Stanford 34-21
Stanford loves to line up and pound the ball against USC. Stanford has won the last three games in the series and USC looked bad against Western Michigan last week.
- Montana +39 at Washington
Prediction: Washington 38-14
Montana is a proud FCS program that slipped a little last year. Washington has a good defense, but an offense that needs more seasoning than what they showed against Rutgers. 39 is too many points unless Washington suddenly find more offense.
- Utah – 1 at BYU
Prediction: Utah 20-14
BYU is having offensive problems. Utah is stingy against the run suggesting that this game will not be high scoring (under 47). Utah wins the Holy War and is a better team this year.
Be sure to keep your eye out for our weekly blog with Dr. Senkbeil’s picks every Thursday. Challenge your college buddies and coworkers on your Alma Mater’s game and raise money for charity in the process! Don’t have the GoodBookey app? Download it below. Talk some smack and give back!