Last Week in Review By Dr. Senkbeil
Guess how many double digit favorites outright lost last week? I lost count. Auburn became the first top 10 team ever to lead by 20 and then lose to an unranked team. Top 10 teams were 182-0 in that scenario. It was a weekend full of upsets, but not much changed with us. The coin went 8-7, I went 8-7, Sagarin went 7-8. It is difficult to forecast nagging midseason injuries and other intangibles that might influence outcomes.
After browsing the lines, I do not see many tasty meals this week. Does my confidence have a statistically significant negative correlation with my success? I don’t think so, but you can laugh at me if this week goes well. Therefore, it is a week to consult the sagarin lines first and try to find the largest cushions between the sagarin predictions and the vegas lines and then maybe find a few places where we disagree. Gotta pick 15
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa